Updated: 11:00 PM EDT on September 01, 2014
Partly cloudy with a chance of a thunderstorm and a chance of rain in the afternoon. High of 70F. Winds from the West at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 20%.
Partly cloudy. Fog overnight. Low of 55F. Winds from the SW at 5 to 10 mph.
Clear in the morning, then partly cloudy. High of 73F. Winds from the SSW at 5 to 15 mph.
Partly cloudy with a chance of rain, then a chance of a thunderstorm and a chance of rain after midnight. Low of 59F. Winds from the SSW at 10 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 50%.
Overcast with a chance of a thunderstorm and a chance of rain. High of 75F. Winds from the SSW at 10 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 50%.
Overcast with a chance of a thunderstorm and rain. Fog overnight. Low of 59F. Winds from the SW at 10 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 60% with rainfall amounts near 0.3 in. possible.
Overcast. High of 64F. Breezy. Winds from the NW at 10 to 20 mph.
Partly cloudy. Low of 48F. Winds from the North at 5 to 15 mph.
Partly cloudy. High of 64F. Winds from the NNW at 5 to 15 mph.
Clear. Low of 43F. Winds from the NNW at 5 to 15 mph.
Partly cloudy. High of 63F. Winds from the West at 5 to 15 mph shifting to the SW in the afternoon.
Clear. Low of 50F. Winds from the SSW at 5 to 10 mph.
Overcast. High of 64F. Winds from the South at 10 to 15 mph.
Overcast with a chance of rain. Low of 54F. Breezy. Winds from the SE at 10 to 20 mph. Chance of rain 50% with rainfall amounts near 0.3 in. possible.
Overcast with a chance of rain. High of 64F. Breezy. Winds from the SSE at 10 to 20 mph. Chance of rain 40%.
Overcast with a chance of rain. Fog overnight. Low of 57F. Winds from the SSE at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 40% with rainfall amounts near 0.3 in. possible.
Overcast with a chance of a thunderstorm. Fog early. High of 68F. Winds less than 5 mph. Chance of rain 60% with rainfall amounts near 0.3 in. possible.
Overcast with a chance of a thunderstorm. Fog overnight. Low of 55F. Winds less than 5 mph. Chance of rain 50% with rainfall amounts near 0.3 in. possible.
Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain. Fog early. High of 63F. Winds less than 5 mph. Chance of rain 50%.
Partly cloudy. Low of 52F. Winds less than 5 mph.
Clear. High of 61F. Winds less than 5 mph.
Clear. Low of 52F. Winds less than 5 mph.
Personal Weather Stations [Add your weather station!]
Updated: 12:11 AM EDT
|Temperature: 59.6 °F||Dew Point: 59 °F||Humidity: 97%||Wind: WSW at 3.0 mph||Pressure: 29.66 in||Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in||Graphs|
Location: RAWS HIGH BRIDGE MI US, Chatham, MI
Updated: 11:04 PM EDT
|Temperature: 60 °F||Dew Point: 59 °F||Humidity: 98%||Wind: West at 4 mph||Pressure: -||Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in||Graphs|
Location: Forest Glen, Michigan, MI
Updated: 12:10 AM EDT
|Temperature: 59.4 °F||Dew Point: 59 °F||Humidity: 99%||Wind: Calm||Pressure: 29.90 in||Hourly Precipitation: -||Graphs|
Location: RAWS SENEY MI US, Germfask, MI
Updated: 11:03 PM EDT
|Temperature: 58 °F||Dew Point: 57 °F||Humidity: 98%||Wind: SSW at 2 mph||Pressure: -||Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in||Graphs|
MSN Maps of:
|Temp:||Dew Point:||Humidity||Wind||Pressure||Hr Precip||-|
Area forecast discussion National Weather Service Marquette Michigan 725 PM EDT Monday Sep 1 2014 Short term...(this evening through tuesday) issued at 308 PM EDT Monday Sep 1 2014 Upper air pattern consists of a broad 500 mb trough over the northern rockies to the upper Great Lakes with a negative tilted shortwave over the upper Mississippi River valley. The shortwave passes through this afternoon and the upper trough passes through on Tuesday. Deeper moisture and dynamics leave the area tonight. Did not make too many changes to the going forecast except sped up exit of probability of precipitation for late this afternoon and tonight and delayed probability of precipitation for early Tuesday morning until the middle morning. Looked like there be enough instability with some heating and still being in the upper trough to have some probability of precipitation for late Tuesday morning into Tuesday afternoon with some diurnal instability showers possible. Long term...(tuesday night through monday) issued at 338 PM EDT Monday Sep 1 2014 An active Middle-Range forecast ahead with a strong early-fall system tracking across the region Wednesday night through Thursday night. Heavy rainfall is possible for western Upper Michigan Wednesday night...followed by a very conditional chance for strong storms Thursday afternoon. Seasonably cool temperatures then arrive by the end of the week. Tuesday night and Wednesday morning...a weak middle-level shortwave trough will be exiting to the east at the beginning of the period...with zonal flow developing across the north central Continental U.S.. a weak shortwave trough currently over northwest Alberta is prognosticated to track across northern Ontario late Tuesday night into Wednesday...clipping the County Warning Area. Meanwhile...a deep trough developing over Alberta Wednesday will be inducing a broad surface low over the northern and Central High plains. Low-level moisture will be surging northward ahead of this trough. However...the arrival of this moisture along a warm front southwest of the region Wednesday does not line up well with the weak trough passage. Isolated showers are possible across Lake Superior late Tuesday night into Wednesday morning...but a rather dry sub-cloud layer over land should result in nothing more than some virga across the northwest County Warning Area. Wednesday afternoon and night...weak middle-level ridging will develop over the upper Great Lakes in response to abundant low-level warm air advection. With increasing 850 hpa temperatures to 14 to 16c and some clearing across the County Warning Area Wednesday afternoon...temperatures should rise well into the 70s to low 80s. While a couple light showers cannot be ruled out with the warm air advection in the afternoon...probability of precipitation were cut back for Wednesday given minimal overall support in the region. The surface warm front will push northward across the County Warning Area Wednesday night. The combination of precipitable waters surpassing 1.7 inches...the presence of a 45kt low level jet...and impressive isentropic lift on the 300-310k Theta sfcs all point to heavy rain across the western County Warning Area overnight. MUCAPE of around 1000 j/kg also supports this notion. Best chances for heavy rain look to be from The Arrowhead of Minnesota to the western counties of Upper Michigan. Greater than 1 inch amounts will be possible wherever embedded thunderstorms train over an area. While 0-6km shear will be an impressive 50kts...freezing levels will be fairly high...at or above 13kft. This will result in just a marginal hail threat with any stronger elevated storms. Some guidance shows the warm front stalling along Lake Superior late Wednesday night. With a stronger surface low at this point tracking eastward along the international border...would expect the front to lift farther northward. However...experience leans to the former idea. With that said...lake temperatures well into the 50s to low 60s at this point support a complete frontal passage across the Western Lake. Thursday...the forecast at this point will be highly conditional upon on the movement of the warm front and approaching cold front. Thursday morning looks to have some residual showers and storms associated with the warm front and continued low-level moisture transport. Think things will clear out a decent amount from late morning through the afternoon across the central County Warning Area. The east is a little more questionable if the warm front stalls on the cooler Eastern Lake Superior waters. The Middle-Range model suite...excluding the Gem...is in good agreement of the fronts progression...with it reaching the far western County Warning Area around 18z. A fairly Stout cap around 5kft will settle across the area behind the warm front...so any convection will be tied to the strongest forcing along the cold front. Conditional upon any development...convective parameters are Worth a close look. A pool of MUCAPE values of up to 2000 j/kg associated with the increasing low-level moisture should reach the interior western County Warning Area by late afternoon. 0-6km shear vectors of 50kts from mainly speed shear will lie nearly perpendicular to the surface front. This would support discrete structures along the front. The main focus at this time is across the central County Warning Area where clearing can help weaken the cap ahead of the surface front. Once again...all of this is highly conditional upon any development along the front. Any convection should weaken Thursday even across the eastern County Warning Area as it enters a less-favorable environment in terms of instability. Complete frontal passage is expected by late Thursday night. Friday through Monday...wrap-around moisture with the departing system may bring drizzle/light showers to mainly west to northwesterly favored upslope regions Friday morning. Overall deeper moisture will be limited in the dry slot behind the cold front...so clouds should mix out a decent amount by the afternoon. Surface high pressure over the northern plains impinging on a lingering surface trough over Lake Superior on Friday should result in gusty northwest winds across much of the County Warning Area on Friday. 850 hpa temperatures fall to 1 to 4c across the County Warning Area on Friday...leading to seasonably cool high temperatures in the low to middle 60s. Remaining moisture will then depart the region Friday night as a middle-level ridge and surface high pressure build in from the upper MS valley. Low precipitable waters of under 0.4 inch and weakening winds will allow for some cool temperatures Friday night across at least the interior west. Favored guidance at this point is indicating low 40s. Given the set-up...have followed the low end of guidance. In fact...would not be surprised to see temperatures fall well into the 30s for the colder locations. A weak...moisture-starved trough is prognosticated to pass across the upper Great Lakes Saturday night. With most of the limited forcing remaining north of Lake Superior...nothing more than some middle to high clouds are expected. Temperatures Saturday night will be dependent on these clouds...so did not lower temperatures as much as Friday night. However...in the absence of clouds...conditions will be favorable for more temperatures around 40 for colder locations. High pressure will remain in control through Sunday as broad low pressure forms across the northern and Central Plains. Model solutions diverge by this point...but conditions look dry through at least the first half of Monday. && Aviation...(for the 00z tafs through 00z Tuesday evening) issued at 723 PM EDT Monday Sep 1 2014 Expect VFR conditions to predominate this forecast period with the slow arrival of drier air in the wake of departing cold fnt. Gusty west winds at cmx will diminish this evening with arrival of weaker pressure gradient and loss of daytime heating/mixing. An aprchg upper disturbance could bring some -shra to mainly saw on Tuesday afternoon...but expected dry low level air should maintain predominant VFR weather even if the -shra occur. && Marine...(for the 4 PM Lake Superior forecast issuance) issued at 308 PM EDT Monday Sep 1 2014 Winds will be 20 knots or less through most of this forecast period except for Thursday night into Friday where west to northwest winds behind a strong cold front will approach 30 knots. This will be the when the strongest winds occur with no gales expected at this time. && MQT watches/warnings/advisories... Upper Michigan... none. Lake Superior... none. Lake Michigan... none. && $$ Short term...07 long term...kluber aviation...kc marine...07