Manistique, Michigan Weather Conditions

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Current Conditions

  • 39°
  • Overcast
  • Wind: East 9 mph
  • Humidity: 77%
  • Visibility: 10.0 miles
  • Dew Point: 32°
  • Pressure: 29.93 in. -
  • Heat Index: 32

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Next 12 Hours

11  pm
2  am
5  am
8  am
11  am
Chance of Snow
Chance of Snow
Rain
Rain
Chance of Snow
Chance of Snow
Rain
Rain
Chance of Rain
Chance of Rain
34°
37°
34°
36°
36°
Forecast data from the National Digital Forecast Database.

5 Day Forecast

  • Friday
  • Chance of Snow
  • High: 43 °
  • Low: 30 °
  • Chance of Snow
  • Saturday
  • Partly Cloudy
  • High: 45 °
  • Low: 27 °
  • Partly Cloudy
  • Sunday
  • Partly Cloudy
  • High: 45 °
  • Low: 32 °
  • Partly Cloudy
  • Monday
  • Mostly Cloudy
  • High: 46 °
  • Low: 36 °
  • Mostly Cloudy
  • Tuesday
  • Mostly Cloudy
  • High: 48 °
  • Low: 34 °
  • Mostly Cloudy

Forecast for Manistique, Michigan

Updated: 11:00 PM EDT on April 24, 2014

  • Thursday

    Mostly cloudy in the morning, then overcast with a chance of rain. High of 45F. Winds from the ESE at 10 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 40%.

  • Thursday Night

    Overcast with a chance of snow and rain showers, then a chance of snow and rain after midnight. Low of 34F with a windchill as low as 23F. Breezy. Winds from the ESE at 15 to 20 mph. Chance of snow 90%.

  • Friday

    Overcast with rain, then a chance of rain in the afternoon. High of 43F. Breezy. Winds from the ESE at 10 to 20 mph. Chance of rain 70%.

  • Friday Night

    Overcast with a chance of snow in the evening, then partly cloudy with a chance of snow and a chance of rain. Low of 30F. Winds from the North at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of snow 40%.

  • Saturday

    Overcast in the morning, then partly cloudy. High of 45F. Winds from the North at 10 to 15 mph.

  • Saturday Night

    Partly cloudy. Low of 27F with a windchill as low as 19F. Winds from the NE at 10 to 15 mph.

  • Sunday

    Partly cloudy. High of 45F. Winds from the North at 10 to 15 mph shifting to the South in the afternoon.

  • Sunday Night

    Partly cloudy. Low of 32F with a windchill as low as 23F. Winds from the East at 10 to 15 mph.

  • Monday

    Mostly cloudy in the morning, then overcast. High of 46F. Breezy. Winds from the East at 20 to 25 mph.

  • Monday Night

    Mostly cloudy. Low of 36F. Breezy. Winds from the East at 15 to 20 mph.

  • Tuesday

    Overcast. High of 48F. Breezy. Winds from the East at 20 to 25 mph.

  • Tuesday Night

    Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain. Fog overnight. Low of 34F. Breezy. Winds from the ENE at 10 to 20 mph. Chance of rain 70% with rainfall amounts near 0.4 in. possible.

  • Wednesday

    Overcast with a chance of rain. High of 45F. Breezy. Winds from the ENE at 20 to 25 mph. Chance of rain 50% with rainfall amounts near 0.3 in. possible.

  • Wednesday Night

    Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain. Low of 37F. Breezy. Winds from the ENE at 15 to 25 mph. Chance of rain 70% with rainfall amounts near 0.3 in. possible.

  • Thursday

    Partly cloudy with a chance of rain. High of 50F. Breezy. Winds from the East at 15 to 20 mph. Chance of rain 20%.

  • Thursday Night

    Mostly cloudy. Low of 37F. Winds from the ENE at 10 to 15 mph.

  • Friday

    Overcast with a chance of rain. High of 48F. Winds from the North at 5 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 20%.

  • Friday Night

    Partly cloudy with a chance of rain. Fog overnight. Low of 37F. Winds from the NNW at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 40%.

  • Saturday

    Mostly cloudy. High of 48F. Winds from the NW at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Saturday Night

    Partly cloudy. Fog overnight. Low of 36F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Sunday

    Partly cloudy. High of 50F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Sunday Night

    Partly cloudy. Fog overnight. Low of 36F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Monday

    Clear. High of 52F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Monday Night

    Clear. Fog overnight. Low of 36F. Winds less than 5 mph.

Personal Weather Stations

Personal Weather Stations [Add your weather station!]

Location: On the Tip of Big Bay de Noc, Garden Corners, MI

Updated: 10:23 PM EDT

Temperature: 38.6 °F Dew Point: 36 °F Humidity: 90% Wind: NNE at 9.0 mph Pressure: 29.86 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.01 in Windchill: 32 °F Graphs

Location: RAWS HIGH BRIDGE MI US, Chatham, MI

Updated: 10:04 PM EDT

Temperature: 37 °F Dew Point: 35 °F Humidity: 91% Wind: ESE at 6 mph Pressure: - Hourly Precipitation: 0.06 in Windchill: 32 °F Graphs

Location: Forest Glen, Michigan, MI

Updated: 10:23 PM EDT

Temperature: 35.6 °F Dew Point: 33 °F Humidity: 90% Wind: North at 1.6 mph Pressure: 30.12 in Hourly Precipitation: - Windchill: 36 °F Graphs

Location: RAWS SENEY MI US, Germfask, MI

Updated: 10:03 PM EDT

Temperature: 37 °F Dew Point: 35 °F Humidity: 93% Wind: ESE at 8 mph Pressure: - Hourly Precipitation: 0.01 in Windchill: 31 °F Graphs

MSN Maps of:

Temp: Dew Point: Humidity Wind Pressure Hr Precip -

NWS Forecaster Discussion




Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Marquette Michigan 
729 PM EDT Thursday Apr 24 2014 


Short term...(this evening through friday) 
issued at 432 PM EDT Thursday Apr 24 2014 


Low pressure trough stretches from southern Saskatchewan to Iowa and 
northern MO. Two main areas of low pressure result from split flow 
aloft and two separate shortwaves. Northern shortwave is the main 
driver of the precipitation impacting upper lakes this afternoon and 
tonight. Wrapped up shortwave moves across Minnesota this evening. 
Warm air advection ahead of surface-850 mb trough and increasing moisture 
will continue to support batch of precipitation lifting across 
Wisconsin and Upper Michigan. Thus far...based on metar 3hr precipitation 
reports...heaviest precipitation is occurring over western WI compared to 
eastern WI. This is likely due to very dry air below 700 mb seen on 12z 
sounding at kapx in northern lower Michigan. Expect heavier precipitation 
to remain over west half of County Warning Area into the evening as moisture 
advection at 850 mb combines with increasing larger scale lift from 
shortwave trough/q-vector convergence at 850 mb-500 mb moving in from the 
west. Jet streak lifting north-northeast across the area will enhance diffluence 
aloft to increase precipitation. Farther east...moisture advection and 
isentropic ascent will be the main instigator for precipitation...but think 
that precipitation over the east will be hindered by the dry air feeding in 
from the east. 


Ptype remains main issue and snow amounts. Top down look at 
soundings show not much warm layer aloft...so snow will be falling 
into the lower layers. Question then is how much warming occurs in 
the blyr. Thus far...interior sections over west half of County Warning Area have 
seen rain/snow mix but lower level elevations are seeing only rain. 
Think the models are underplaying the extent of dry air and 
ultimately the evaporative cooling...so am keeping a mix of rain and 
snow in over the interior. Once the heavier precipitation moves across this 
evening...think that stronger dynamics/lifting will result in more 
evaporative cooling and switch most of the precipitation over to 
snow...especially over the higher terrain of northwest Upper Michigan 
and north central Upper Michigan. Otherwise...should be a rain/snow mix 
over western Upper Michigan...with mainly rain for lower elevations of 
central County Warning Area and on across eastern sections...where temperatures this afternoon 
have reached upper 40s to near 50 degrees in some interior locations. 
Road temperatures all over Upper Michigan are in the 40s and 50s...so do not 
expect much snow accumulation on roads initially...even with heavier 
rates. Eventually with cooling this evening...some slushy snow will 
try to accumulate on roads over the northwest County Warning Area. Most of the accums 
though will be on the grassy surfaces. Tweaked down total snow 
amounts to 3 to 5 inches at the most over higher terrain of the 
Keweenaw and more in the 1 to 4 inch range over higher terrain of 
west and north central Upper Michigan. Snow will be wet and sloppy with slr/S 
below 10:1. No changes to the advisory for the Keweenaw. Given lesser snow 
amounts over rest of County Warning Area...will just mention in the hazardous weather 
outlook. 


Late tonight into Friday...shortwave lifts across Upper Michigan. 
Better moisture transport at 850 mb-700 mb wraps by to the east...leaving 
limited deeper moisture for all but Lake Superior and the Keweenaw. 
Could see another inch or so in the morning over the Keweenaw...as 
long as this progressive idea offered up by the models does come 
to fruition. Soundings by early afternoon Friday...indicate shallow 
moisture to h9-850 mb with another swath of deeper moisture coming back 
in during the afternoon. Blyr warming will switch any precipitation to rain by 
early afternoon. Mixing to h9 supports temperatures warming well into the 40s 
and possibly as warm as the 50s over the scntrl with west surface winds 
and clouds thinning out more than across rest of County Warning Area. 


Long term...(friday night through thursday) 
issued at 432 PM EDT Thursday Apr 24 2014 


Friday night...models were consistent in placing the middle level low over 
central/Eastern Lake Superior at 00z/Sat which would bring the band of 
700-500 mb qvector conv through the eastern County Warning Area during the evening. This 
should support some additional precipitation through at least 03z. Low level 
thermal profiles favor mainly rain possibly mixed with some snow. 
Otherwise...low level cyclonic conv flow with deeper moisture 
lingering over the region will also bring some snow to northern Upper 
Michigan...mainly for areas favored by upslope north-northeast flow. Any 
accumulations should only amount to a half inch or less. 


Sat...there may be some leftover light snow into the higher terrain 
of north central Upper Michigan through middle morning. Otherwise...surface 
high pressure will build over Hudson Bay with a surface ridge extending into 
the northern lakes under steadily rising heights. This should bring 
drying by afternoon with partly to mostly sunny skies over the County Warning Area. 
Despite the return of afternoon sunshine...locations downstream of 
east-northeast flow off of Lake Superior will remain quite cold with high only 
in the upper 30s and lower 40s while locations over the south climb 
into the middle and upper 40s. 


Sat night into Monday...the strong blocking pattern developing with the 
middle level high near Hudson Bay and low into the Central Plains will 
favor dry easterly flow around the surface Hudson Bay high. As a 
result...the drier look of the European model (ecmwf) was favored which keeps the 
precipitation mainly to the south and west of Upper Michigan. The GFS has 
also trended toward this solution. However...slight to lower end 
chance probability of precipitation over the west and south by Sun night into Monday...per model 
consensus are not unreasonable given lingering model differences and 
uncertainty. 


Tue-Thu...the models are in general agreement with the larger scale 
evolution of the pattern as a Rex block develops with the middle level 
low from near Iowa into the southern lakes. With a surface low moving to near 
lower Michigan or Indiana...surface moisture inflow toward the northern lakes along 
with weak shortwaves on the northern side of the middle level circulation would 
support increasing rain chances for Wednesday into Thursday. Temperatures should 
remain below normal...especially over the north with cold NE flow 
into the area and increasing clouds by Wed-Thu. 
&& 


Aviation...(for the 00z tafs through 00z Friday evening) 
issued at 729 PM EDT Thursday Apr 24 2014 


Snow will continue through most of the period at cmx...but 
could stay a mix of rain and snow much of the night at iwd and saw. 
Expect IFR to MVFR conditions...first coming from the visibility and 
eventually due to lowering ceilings. The most persistent lower 
conditions are expected at cmx tonight with upsloping easterly 
winds. Late tonight into Friday morning...the precipitation...mainly 
in the form of snow...diminishes at the taf sites...but lower IFR 
ceilings will remain. Expect slow improvement to MVFR conditions by 
Friday afternoon at iwd and cmx...but upslope from Lake Superior 
will keep ceilings at IFR at saw. 
&& 


Marine...(for the 4 PM Lake Superior forecast issuance) 
issued at 432 PM EDT Thursday Apr 24 2014 


As the high pressure ridge over Lake Huron this afternoon drifts off the 
East Coast Friday morning...a low over the northern plains will 
shift to the lower Great Lakes. Southeast gusts will near 30-35kts late 
this evening over mainly Central Lake Superior. The low will 
continue into New England on Saturday. A large Canadian high 
pressure ridge will then build across the upper Great Lakes Saturday 
and remain over the region into Monday. Another round of stronger 
east winds nearing 25-30kts will be possible Monday...in between 
the exiting ridge of high pressure and nearing low pressure from the 
plains states. 
&& 


Hydrology... 
issued at 432 PM EDT Thursday Apr 24 2014 


Runoff from recent above normal temperatures and snowmelt continues to flow 
through the ground...so some area streams and rivers are still running 
high and even rising slowly...despite the lower temperatures that 
were observed recently. Locations that still are still near or above 
bankfull at this time include the Sturgeon river near Chassell and 
the paint river near Crystal Falls. While the paint river near 
Crystal Falls is not expected to reach flood stage in the short 
term...the Sturgeon river is expected to crest at flood stage 
tonight and Friday and hold steady into the weekend. 


Reports indicate little ice remains on area rivers...so the ice jam 
flooding threat has greatly diminished. The only exception might be 
at the mouths of rivers that flow into the Great Lakes where 
significant ice remains at the shore or just offshore. 


More precipitation will return tonight into Friday as another low 
pressure system moves from the plains toward the Great Lakes... 
potentially adding to runoff. At this point the best chance of 
significant precipitation looks to be over the west half of Upper 
Michigan...and specifically the Keweenaw peninsula...where 0.50-1.25 inch 
of liquid will be possible by Friday afternoon. There is some 
uncertainty on how much will fall as rain and how much will fall as 
snow...but the best chance of snow will be over the Keweenaw 
peninsula. If more of the precipitation falls as snow...runoff will 
be delayed until warmer weather returns next week. 


Overall...widespread flooding is not foreseen at this time. Those 
living around rivers...creeks...and streams should monitor river 
levels over the next week. 
&& 


MQT watches/warnings/advisories... 
Upper Michigan... 
Winter Weather Advisory until 11 am EDT Friday for miz001-003. 


Lake Superior... 
none. 
Lake Michigan... 
none. 
&& 


$$ 


Short term...jla 
long term...jlb 
aviation...07 
marine...jla 
hydrology...jlb 












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