Updated: 10:00 AM EST on November 27, 2014
Overcast with snow showers in the morning, then mostly cloudy with a chance of snow. High of 23F with a windchill as low as 3F. Breezy. Winds from the NNW at 10 to 20 mph. Chance of snow 50%.
Partly cloudy with a chance of snow. Low of 9F. Winds from the WNW at 5 to 15 mph. Chance of snow 20%.
Mostly cloudy with a chance of snow in the morning, then overcast with snow. High of 28F with a windchill as low as 0F. Winds from the SSW at 5 to 15 mph. Chance of snow 80%.
Overcast with snow, then a chance of snow after midnight. Low of 25F. Winds from the SSW at 5 to 15 mph. Chance of snow 80% with accumulations up to 3 in. possible.
Overcast with ice pellets. High of 39F with a windchill as low as 23F. Winds from the SSW at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation 20% .
Overcast. Low of 28F. Winds from the SW at 5 to 15 mph.
Overcast. Fog early. High of 36F with a windchill as low as 14F. Breezy. Winds from the WNW at 10 to 20 mph.
Overcast. Low of 14F with a windchill as low as -2F. Breezy. Winds from the WNW at 15 to 20 mph.
Mostly cloudy in the morning, then overcast. High of 19F with a windchill as low as -2F. Breezy. Winds from the WNW at 15 to 25 mph.
Partly cloudy. Low of 12F. Winds from the SW at 5 to 15 mph.
Overcast. High of 34F with a windchill as low as 3F. Windy. Winds from the South at 20 to 30 mph.
Overcast with a chance of snow. Low of 21F with a windchill as low as 14F. Breezy. Winds from the WSW at 10 to 25 mph. Chance of snow 40% with accumulations up to 2 in. possible.
Partly cloudy. High of 36F with a windchill as low as 14F. Winds from the West at 5 to 15 mph.
Overcast. Low of 23F. Winds from the West at 5 to 10 mph.
Overcast. Fog early. High of 28F with a windchill as low as 14F. Winds from the NE at 5 to 10 mph.
Mostly cloudy. Low of 18F. Winds from the NW at 5 to 15 mph.
Partly cloudy. High of 27F with a windchill as low as 16F. Winds from the West at 5 to 10 mph.
Partly cloudy. Low of 21F. Winds from the WSW at 5 to 10 mph.
Partly cloudy. High of 28F with a windchill as low as 12F. Winds from the WSW at 5 to 10 mph.
Clear. Low of 21F. Winds from the West at 5 to 15 mph.
Clear. High of 28F with a windchill as low as 14F. Winds from the West at 5 to 10 mph.
Clear. Fog overnight. Low of 21F. Winds from the West at 5 to 10 mph.
Personal Weather Stations [Add your weather station!]
Updated: 10:49 AM EST
|Temperature: 17.0 °F||Dew Point: 10 °F||Humidity: 74%||Wind: NNW at 8.0 mph||Pressure: 30.25 in||Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in||Windchill: 7 °F||Graphs|
Location: RAWS HIGH BRIDGE MI US, Chatham, MI
Updated: 10:04 AM EST
|Temperature: 13 °F||Dew Point: 8 °F||Humidity: 79%||Wind: WNW at 10 mph||Pressure: -||Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in||Windchill: -||Graphs|
Location: Forest Glen, Michigan, MI
Updated: 10:48 AM EST
|Temperature: 16.7 °F||Dew Point: 1 °F||Humidity: 50%||Wind: SW at 3.8 mph||Pressure: 30.54 in||Hourly Precipitation: -||Windchill: 11 °F||Graphs|
Location: RAWS SENEY MI US, Germfask, MI
Updated: 10:03 AM EST
|Temperature: 19 °F||Dew Point: 11 °F||Humidity: 70%||Wind: NNW at 5 mph||Pressure: -||Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in||Windchill: 12 °F||Graphs|
MSN Maps of:
|Temp:||Dew Point:||Humidity||Wind||Pressure||Hr Precip||-|
Area forecast discussion National Weather Service Marquette Michigan 651 am EST Thursday Nov 27 2014 Short term...(today and tonight) issued at 556 am EST Thursday Nov 27 2014 Water vapor imagery and RUC analysis reveal an amplified pattern across namerica with a ridge over the West Coast and a trough extending from north central Canada into the eastern Continental U.S.. a shortwave trough moving across the region is producing some -sn over north central WI and perhaps providing some enhancement to les over Eastern Lake Superior into the the eastern half of Upper Michigan. Cold and very dry air mass upstream as noted on 00z kinl sndg and minus teens to minus 20s dewpoints over western Ontario and northern Minnesota will negatively impact les from west to east today as it moves across Lake Superior in the wake of the shortwave passage. Today...model soundings show sharp lowering of inversion bases below 4kft as q-vect divergence spreading from west to east across the forecast area today ahead of advancing shortwave ridge. Low-level flow also becomes more anticyclonic through the day which in turn will weaken low-level convergence. All these factors will combine to quickly diminish les from west to east through the day. In fact over the far west...expect les to end late in the afternoon around kiwd as flow backs SW. The one positive factor for the les S that the dgz is firmly situated through the convective layer allowing for fluffy snow accumulations. So...despite the negatives leading to mostly light les on the whole...might be able to still get 3-4 inches of additional snow where les is most persistent. The greatest accumulations will occur east of Marquette where low-level flow is more cyclonic through the early part of the day and where northwest fetch may be helped by Lake Nipigon preconditioning. Away from the main les...scattered -shsn/flurries are possible at times...except over the far scntrl. Temperatures will be unseasonably cold today as 850mb thermal trough (around -20c) passes across the area. Expect highs ranging from 10 to 15f over the west half...to around 20f along Lake Superior and east. Record low maximum temperature of 18f here at National Weather Service MQT will fall. If temperature doesn't reach 14f...it will be the coldest maximum temperature for so early in the season. Tonight...the lingering les will diminish over the Keweenaw and far eastern shoreline portion of County Warning Area as the surface ridge axis slides through the area allowing the low level winds to back SW. With light winds and a period of clearing over the interior west during the evening...temperatures will drop quickly to mins on the lower end of model guidance before recovering overnight as clouds move in. Models trending a bit slower with arrival of light snow into the west late with the developing warm air advection pattern...so have trimmed back probability of precipitation to slight chance. Long term...(friday through wednesday) issued at 509 am EST Thursday Nov 27 2014 Troughing bringing the well below normal temperatures across the area today exits over eastern Canada and New England on Friday. Upper level flow becomes more progressive from the Pacific northwest across the northern plains and over the Great Lakes region. Shortwave trough currently just offshore of Pacific northwest heads east and will support area of warm advection/isentropic ascent along tight baroclinic zone sfc-h85. Models still differ on where sharpest temperature gradient sets up...but seems that at least the south half of Upper Michigan sees widespread snow...with a bit more question on northern extent. If band of more concentrated snow slides northward then could see amounts nearing advisory along the WI border and near Bay of Green Bay Friday afternoon into Friday evening. Primary area of concern still is over eastern County Warning Area though...Schoolcraft and Luce counties...due to lake enhancement off Lake Michigan as the larger scale moisture and forcing with the shortwave combines with mean blry south-southwest flow and 850 mb temperatures lower than -10c...plenty low enough for lake enhancement with Lake Michigan water temperatures around up to 4c. If the farther north NAM idea is correct with more direct influence from the incoming system...then moderate to heavy snow would occur. Blend of other models...including the favored ECMWF/Gem-NH...point to solid advisory amounts. Will mention in the severe weather potential statement and highlight in ehwo graphics...but not issue any watch at this time given the uncertainty on track of incoming system. Messy forecast later Friday night into Saturday. Or maybe it will just end up benign. Still trying to figure this out...but European model (ecmwf)/Gem and trend from GFS would suggest more drier idea. European model (ecmwf) and Gem are farther north with larger scale q-vector convergence and deep moisture tied into the next shortwave/surface low moving across in what looks more like a zonal flow pattern. 850 mb temperatures quite warm off the European model (ecmwf) with +8c...yes plus 8...into scntrl Upper Michigan by 00z Sunday. Gem even warmer and the NAM/GFS in the ballpark as well. Even with the warmth...soundings from the NAM/GFS suggest the only kind of precipitation occurring...if any...would be drizzle as only moisture is below 850 mb with dry air aloft. Exception to this would be over the north and east County Warning Area Saturday morning and then returning to the northwest County Warning Area later Saturday night once the surface low passes by and a cold front re-enters the picture. Have trended toward the dz/fzdz idea for late Friday night through Saturday. Now if this forecast of low level moisture trapped beneath the warm air advection aloft turns out to be overdone as has occurred in the past...then Saturday could actually end up being an nice day with partly sunny skies and above normal temperatures. Mixing to h9 values off the GFS would yield low 40s over parts of the area. For now...kept with the low cloud/dz idea and have highs in the middle 30s. Once the cold front arrives later Saturday night...pretty quick drop off in temperatures at 850 mb. European model (ecmwf) slower than the GFS and probably is more on track given the farther north trend of warmer air to start the weekend. Even so...enough cold air by Sunday afternoon to start the lake effect up again for areas favored by northwest winds. Shortwave moving through Sunday into Monday could result in a period or two of lake enhancement. Core of coldest air arrives on Monday. 850 mb temperatures a very chilly -20c to -24c...coldest on the GFS. At least light les should continue near Lake Superior and East. Center of high pressure ridge is more over the plains...so pressure gradient will be fairly tight leading to some lower wind chills on Monday morning. Once the high moves toward the lower Great Lakes on Tuesday...temperatures moderate in warm air advection on the back side of the high. Could be some snow break out over region due to the warm and moist advection. Best chance of that looks to be next Tuesday. && Aviation...(for the 12z tafs through 12z Friday morning) issued at 645 am EST Thursday Nov 27 2014 With increasing subsidence/dry advection in advance of hi pressure moving east from the northern plains...expect gradually improving conditions today at taf sites. With the most favorable upslope/confluent north wind...iwd will see a longer persistence of shsn/IFR visibilities this morning. As the hi and accompanying drier air edge closer...the low level winds will back toward the west-northwest early this afternoon and then to the west-southwest this evening... resulting in a return to VFR conditions at iwd. More upslope wrly wind at cmx by this afternoon may hold ceilings in the MVFR range at that location through the much of this evening. Northwest winds backing to S-SW tonight at ksaw should continue the VFR conditions there through the period. && Marine...(for the 4 am Lake Superior forecast issuance) issued at 556 am EST Thursday Nov 27 2014 Northwest winds to 25 knots will diminish to under 20 knots west to east today into tonight as high pressure ridge arrives. With another cold front pushing across the upper lakes Sat night...expect increasing S/SW winds to 15-25kt Friday behind the front...northwest winds may reach 20-30kt late Sat night and sun and increase to gales by Sun night into Monday. && MQT watches/warnings/advisories... Upper Michigan... lake effect Snow Advisory until 1 PM EST this afternoon for miz006. Lake Superior... none. Lake Michigan... none. && $$ Short term...Voss long term...jla aviation...Voss marine...Voss