Manistique, Michigan Weather Conditions

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Current Conditions

  • 18°
  • Scattered Clouds
  • Wind: NW 12 mph
  • Humidity: 78%
  • Visibility: 10.0 miles
  • Dew Point: 12°
  • Pressure: 30.25 in. 0
  • Heat Index: 5

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Next 12 Hours

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18°
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Forecast data from the National Digital Forecast Database.

5 Day Forecast

  • Thursday
  • Snow Showers
  • High: 23 °
  • Low: 9 °
  • Snow Showers
  • Friday
  • Snow
  • High: 28 °
  • Low: 25 °
  • Snow
  • Saturday
  • Ice Pellets
  • High: 39 °
  • Low: 28 °
  • Ice Pellets
  • Sunday
  • Fog
  • High: 36 °
  • Low: 14 °
  • Fog
  • Monday
  • Mostly Cloudy
  • High: 19 °
  • Low: 12 °
  • Mostly Cloudy

Forecast for Manistique, Michigan

Updated: 10:00 AM EST on November 27, 2014

  • Thursday

    Overcast with snow showers in the morning, then mostly cloudy with a chance of snow. High of 23F with a windchill as low as 3F. Breezy. Winds from the NNW at 10 to 20 mph. Chance of snow 50%.

  • Thursday Night

    Partly cloudy with a chance of snow. Low of 9F. Winds from the WNW at 5 to 15 mph. Chance of snow 20%.

  • Friday

    Mostly cloudy with a chance of snow in the morning, then overcast with snow. High of 28F with a windchill as low as 0F. Winds from the SSW at 5 to 15 mph. Chance of snow 80%.

  • Friday Night

    Overcast with snow, then a chance of snow after midnight. Low of 25F. Winds from the SSW at 5 to 15 mph. Chance of snow 80% with accumulations up to 3 in. possible.

  • Saturday

    Overcast with ice pellets. High of 39F with a windchill as low as 23F. Winds from the SSW at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation 20% .

  • Saturday Night

    Overcast. Low of 28F. Winds from the SW at 5 to 15 mph.

  • Sunday

    Overcast. Fog early. High of 36F with a windchill as low as 14F. Breezy. Winds from the WNW at 10 to 20 mph.

  • Sunday Night

    Overcast. Low of 14F with a windchill as low as -2F. Breezy. Winds from the WNW at 15 to 20 mph.

  • Monday

    Mostly cloudy in the morning, then overcast. High of 19F with a windchill as low as -2F. Breezy. Winds from the WNW at 15 to 25 mph.

  • Monday Night

    Partly cloudy. Low of 12F. Winds from the SW at 5 to 15 mph.

  • Tuesday

    Overcast. High of 34F with a windchill as low as 3F. Windy. Winds from the South at 20 to 30 mph.

  • Tuesday Night

    Overcast with a chance of snow. Low of 21F with a windchill as low as 14F. Breezy. Winds from the WSW at 10 to 25 mph. Chance of snow 40% with accumulations up to 2 in. possible.

  • Wednesday

    Partly cloudy. High of 36F with a windchill as low as 14F. Winds from the West at 5 to 15 mph.

  • Wednesday Night

    Overcast. Low of 23F. Winds from the West at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Thursday

    Overcast. Fog early. High of 28F with a windchill as low as 14F. Winds from the NE at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Thursday Night

    Mostly cloudy. Low of 18F. Winds from the NW at 5 to 15 mph.

  • Friday

    Partly cloudy. High of 27F with a windchill as low as 16F. Winds from the West at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Friday Night

    Partly cloudy. Low of 21F. Winds from the WSW at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Saturday

    Partly cloudy. High of 28F with a windchill as low as 12F. Winds from the WSW at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Saturday Night

    Clear. Low of 21F. Winds from the West at 5 to 15 mph.

  • Sunday

    Clear. High of 28F with a windchill as low as 14F. Winds from the West at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Sunday Night

    Clear. Fog overnight. Low of 21F. Winds from the West at 5 to 10 mph.

Personal Weather Stations

Personal Weather Stations [Add your weather station!]

Location: Garden Corners, Michigan, Garden Corners, MI

Updated: 10:49 AM EST

Temperature: 17.0 °F Dew Point: 10 °F Humidity: 74% Wind: NNW at 8.0 mph Pressure: 30.25 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 7 °F Graphs

Location: RAWS HIGH BRIDGE MI US, Chatham, MI

Updated: 10:04 AM EST

Temperature: 13 °F Dew Point: 8 °F Humidity: 79% Wind: WNW at 10 mph Pressure: - Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: - Graphs

Location: Forest Glen, Michigan, MI

Updated: 10:48 AM EST

Temperature: 16.7 °F Dew Point: 1 °F Humidity: 50% Wind: SW at 3.8 mph Pressure: 30.54 in Hourly Precipitation: - Windchill: 11 °F Graphs

Location: RAWS SENEY MI US, Germfask, MI

Updated: 10:03 AM EST

Temperature: 19 °F Dew Point: 11 °F Humidity: 70% Wind: NNW at 5 mph Pressure: - Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 12 °F Graphs

MSN Maps of:

Temp: Dew Point: Humidity Wind Pressure Hr Precip -

NWS Forecaster Discussion




Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Marquette Michigan 
651 am EST Thursday Nov 27 2014 


Short term...(today and tonight) 
issued at 556 am EST Thursday Nov 27 2014 


Water vapor imagery and RUC analysis reveal an amplified pattern 
across namerica with a ridge over the West Coast and a trough extending 
from north central Canada into the eastern Continental U.S.. a shortwave trough moving 
across the region is producing some -sn over north central WI and perhaps 
providing some enhancement to les over Eastern Lake Superior into the 
the eastern half of Upper Michigan. Cold and very dry air mass upstream as 
noted on 00z kinl sndg and minus teens to minus 20s dewpoints over 
western Ontario and northern Minnesota will negatively impact les from west to east 
today as it moves across Lake Superior in the wake of the shortwave 
passage. 


Today...model soundings show sharp lowering of inversion bases below 4kft 
as q-vect divergence spreading from west to east across the forecast area today 
ahead of advancing shortwave ridge. Low-level flow also becomes more 
anticyclonic through the day which in turn will weaken low-level 
convergence. All these factors will combine to quickly diminish les 
from west to east through the day. In fact over the far west...expect les to end 
late in the afternoon around kiwd as flow backs SW. The one positive 
factor for the les S that the dgz is firmly situated through the 
convective layer allowing for fluffy snow accumulations. 
So...despite the negatives leading to mostly light les on the 
whole...might be able to still get 3-4 inches of additional snow 
where les is most persistent. The greatest accumulations will occur 
east of Marquette where low-level flow is more cyclonic through the early 
part of the day and where northwest fetch may be helped by Lake Nipigon 
preconditioning. Away from the main les...scattered -shsn/flurries are 
possible at times...except over the far scntrl. Temperatures will be 
unseasonably cold today as 850mb thermal trough (around -20c) passes 
across the area. Expect highs ranging from 10 to 15f over the west 
half...to around 20f along Lake Superior and east. Record low maximum 
temperature of 18f here at National Weather Service MQT will fall. If temperature doesn't reach 
14f...it will be the coldest maximum temperature for so early in the season. 


Tonight...the lingering les will diminish over the Keweenaw and far 
eastern shoreline portion of County Warning Area as the surface ridge axis slides through 
the area allowing the low level winds to back SW. With light 
winds and a period of clearing over the interior west during the 
evening...temperatures will drop quickly to mins on the lower end of model 
guidance before recovering overnight as clouds move in. Models 
trending a bit slower with arrival of light snow into the west late 
with the developing warm air advection pattern...so have trimmed back probability of precipitation to 
slight chance. 


Long term...(friday through wednesday) 
issued at 509 am EST Thursday Nov 27 2014 


Troughing bringing the well below normal temperatures across the area 
today exits over eastern Canada and New England on Friday. Upper 
level flow becomes more progressive from the Pacific northwest across the 
northern plains and over the Great Lakes region. Shortwave trough 
currently just offshore of Pacific northwest heads east and will support 
area of warm advection/isentropic ascent along tight baroclinic zone 
sfc-h85. Models still differ on where sharpest temperature gradient 
sets up...but seems that at least the south half of Upper Michigan 
sees widespread snow...with a bit more question on northern extent. 
If band of more concentrated snow slides northward then could see 
amounts nearing advisory along the WI border and near Bay of Green Bay 
Friday afternoon into Friday evening. Primary area of concern still is over 
eastern County Warning Area though...Schoolcraft and Luce counties...due to lake 
enhancement off Lake Michigan as the larger scale moisture and forcing 
with the shortwave combines with mean blry south-southwest flow and 850 mb temperatures 
lower than -10c...plenty low enough for lake enhancement with Lake 
Michigan water temperatures around up to 4c. If the farther north NAM idea 
is correct with more direct influence from the incoming system...then 
moderate to heavy snow would occur. Blend of other models...including 
the favored ECMWF/Gem-NH...point to solid advisory amounts. Will mention 
in the severe weather potential statement and highlight in ehwo graphics...but not issue any watch 
at this time given the uncertainty on track of incoming system. 


Messy forecast later Friday night into Saturday. Or maybe it will 
just end up benign. Still trying to figure this out...but European model (ecmwf)/Gem 
and trend from GFS would suggest more drier idea. European model (ecmwf) and Gem are 
farther north with larger scale q-vector convergence and deep 
moisture tied into the next shortwave/surface low moving across in what 
looks more like a zonal flow pattern. 850 mb temperatures quite warm off the 
European model (ecmwf) with +8c...yes plus 8...into scntrl Upper Michigan by 00z 
Sunday. Gem even warmer and the NAM/GFS in the ballpark as well. 
Even with the warmth...soundings from the NAM/GFS suggest the only 
kind of precipitation occurring...if any...would be drizzle as only moisture 
is below 850 mb with dry air aloft. Exception to this would be over the 
north and east County Warning Area Saturday morning and then returning to the 
northwest County Warning Area later Saturday night once the surface low passes by and a 
cold front re-enters the picture. Have trended toward the dz/fzdz 
idea for late Friday night through Saturday. Now if this forecast of 
low level moisture trapped beneath the warm air advection aloft turns 
out to be overdone as has occurred in the past...then Saturday could 
actually end up being an nice day with partly sunny skies and above 
normal temperatures. Mixing to h9 values off the GFS would yield low 40s 
over parts of the area. For now...kept with the low cloud/dz idea and 
have highs in the middle 30s. 


Once the cold front arrives later Saturday night...pretty quick drop 
off in temperatures at 850 mb. European model (ecmwf) slower than the GFS and probably is more 
on track given the farther north trend of warmer air to start the 
weekend. Even so...enough cold air by Sunday afternoon to start the lake 
effect up again for areas favored by northwest winds. Shortwave moving 
through Sunday into Monday could result in a period or two of lake 
enhancement. Core of coldest air arrives on Monday. 850 mb temperatures a very 
chilly -20c to -24c...coldest on the GFS. At least light les should 
continue near Lake Superior and East. Center of high pressure ridge is 
more over the plains...so pressure gradient will be fairly tight 
leading to some lower wind chills on Monday morning. 


Once the high moves toward the lower Great Lakes on Tuesday...temperatures 
moderate in warm air advection on the back side of the high. Could 
be some snow break out over region due to the warm and moist advection. 
Best chance of that looks to be next Tuesday. 
&& 


Aviation...(for the 12z tafs through 12z Friday morning) 
issued at 645 am EST Thursday Nov 27 2014 


With increasing subsidence/dry advection in advance of hi pressure 
moving east from the northern plains...expect gradually improving conditions 
today at taf sites. With the most favorable upslope/confluent north 
wind...iwd will see a longer persistence of shsn/IFR visibilities this morning. 
As the hi and accompanying drier air edge closer...the low level winds will 
back toward the west-northwest early this afternoon and then to the west-southwest this evening... 
resulting in a return to VFR conditions at iwd. More upslope wrly wind 
at cmx by this afternoon may hold ceilings in the MVFR range at that 
location through the much of this evening. Northwest winds backing to S-SW 
tonight at ksaw should continue the VFR conditions there through the 
period. && 


Marine...(for the 4 am Lake Superior forecast issuance) 
issued at 556 am EST Thursday Nov 27 2014 


Northwest winds to 25 knots will diminish to under 20 knots west to east today into 
tonight as high pressure ridge arrives. With another cold front 
pushing across the upper lakes Sat night...expect increasing S/SW 
winds to 15-25kt Friday behind the front...northwest winds may reach 20-30kt 
late Sat night and sun and increase to gales by Sun night into Monday. 
&& 


MQT watches/warnings/advisories... 
Upper Michigan... 
lake effect Snow Advisory until 1 PM EST this afternoon for 
miz006. 


Lake Superior... 
none. 
Lake Michigan... 
none. 
&& 


$$ 


Short term...Voss 
long term...jla 
aviation...Voss 
marine...Voss 












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