Manistique, Michigan Weather Conditions

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Current Conditions

  • 18°
  • Clear
  • Wind: SW 10 mph
  • Humidity: 56%
  • Visibility: 10.0 miles
  • Dew Point: 4°
  • Pressure: 30.57 in. -
  • Heat Index: 6

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Next 12 Hours

1  pm
4  pm
7  pm
10  pm
1  am
Clear
Clear
Clear
Clear
Clear
Clear
Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
14°
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Forecast data from the National Digital Forecast Database.

5 Day Forecast

  • Saturday
  • Clear
  • High: 19 °
  • Low: 5 °
  • Clear
  • Sunday
  • Chance of Snow
  • High: 25 °
  • Low: 7 °
  • Chance of Snow
  • Monday
  • Partly Cloudy
  • High: 21 °
  • Low: 12 °
  • Partly Cloudy
  • Tuesday
  • Chance of Snow
  • High: 28 °
  • Low: 7 °
  • Chance of Snow
  • Wednesday
  • Partly Cloudy
  • High: 12 °
  • Low: -8 °
  • Partly Cloudy

Forecast for Manistique, Michigan

Updated: 10:00 AM EST on February 28, 2015

  • Saturday

    Clear. High of 19F with a windchill as low as -2F. Winds from the SSW at 5 to 15 mph.

  • Saturday Night

    Partly cloudy. Low of 5F with a windchill as low as -6F. Winds from the SSW at 5 to 15 mph.

  • Sunday

    Overcast with a chance of snow. High of 25F with a windchill as low as 0F. Winds from the SW at 10 to 15 mph. Chance of snow 30%.

  • Sunday Night

    Partly cloudy with a chance of snow. Fog overnight. Low of 7F with a windchill as low as -6F. Winds from the West at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of snow 30%.

  • Monday

    Clear in the morning, then mostly cloudy. High of 21F with a windchill as low as -2F. Winds from the WNW at 10 to 15 mph.

  • Monday Night

    Clear in the evening, then mostly cloudy. Low of 12F with a windchill as low as 0F. Winds from the SW at 5 to 15 mph.

  • Tuesday

    Overcast with a chance of snow. Fog early. High of 28F with a windchill as low as 5F. Breezy. Winds from the South at 10 to 20 mph. Chance of snow 60% with accumulations up to 3 in. possible.

  • Tuesday Night

    Overcast with a chance of snow. Fog overnight. Low of 7F with a windchill as low as -9F. Winds from the NE at 5 to 20 mph shifting to the NW after midnight. Chance of snow 60% with accumulations up to 2 in. possible.

  • Wednesday

    Mostly cloudy in the morning, then overcast. High of 12F with a windchill as low as -2F. Winds from the NW at 10 to 15 mph.

  • Wednesday Night

    Partly cloudy. Low of -8F with a windchill as low as -18F. Winds from the WNW at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Thursday

    Clear. High of 10F with a windchill as low as -20F. Winds from the WSW at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Thursday Night

    Clear. Low of 0F with a windchill as low as -17F. Winds from the SW at 5 to 15 mph.

  • Friday

    Clear with a chance of snow. High of 23F with a windchill as low as -13F. Breezy. Winds from the SW at 10 to 20 mph. Chance of snow 40% with accumulations up to 1 in. possible.

  • Friday Night

    Partly cloudy with a chance of snow. Fog overnight. Low of 16F with a windchill as low as 5F. Winds from the SW at 10 to 15 mph. Chance of snow 40% with accumulations up to 3 in. possible.

  • Saturday

    Partly cloudy with a chance of snow. High of 23F with a windchill as low as 3F. Breezy. Winds from the NW at 20 to 25 mph. Chance of snow 20%.

  • Saturday Night

    Clear. Low of 5F. Winds from the WSW at 5 to 15 mph.

  • Sunday

    Clear. High of 25F with a windchill as low as -2F. Winds from the SW at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Sunday Night

    Clear. Fog overnight. Low of 9F with a windchill as low as -4F. Winds from the SW at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Monday

    Clear. Fog early. High of 28F with a windchill as low as 18F. Winds from the SW at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Monday Night

    Clear. Fog overnight. Low of 21F. Winds from the SW at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Tuesday

    Clear with a chance of snow. High of 30F. Winds less than 5 mph. Chance of snow 40%.

  • Tuesday Night

    Clear. Fog overnight. Low of 21F. Winds less than 5 mph.

Personal Weather Stations

Personal Weather Stations [Add your weather station!]

Location: Garden Corners, Michigan, Garden Corners, MI

Updated: 12:22 PM EST

Temperature: 16.8 °F Dew Point: 6 °F Humidity: 61% Wind: SW at 3.0 mph Pressure: 30.59 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 17 °F Graphs

Location: RAWS HIGH BRIDGE MI US, Chatham, MI

Updated: 11:04 AM EST

Temperature: 10 °F Dew Point: -5 °F Humidity: 49% Wind: WSW at 6 mph Pressure: - Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: - Graphs

Location: Forest Glen, Michigan, MI

Updated: 12:22 PM EST

Temperature: 20.7 °F Dew Point: -10 °F Humidity: 23% Wind: North at 3.8 mph Pressure: 30.83 in Hourly Precipitation: - Windchill: 15 °F Graphs

Location: RAWS SENEY MI US, Germfask, MI

Updated: 11:03 AM EST

Temperature: 15 °F Dew Point: -3 °F Humidity: 43% Wind: SW at 5 mph Pressure: - Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 7 °F Graphs

MSN Maps of:

Temp: Dew Point: Humidity Wind Pressure Hr Precip -

NWS Forecaster Discussion




Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Marquette Michigan 
628 am EST Sat Feb 28 2015 


Short term...(today and tonight) 
issued at 351 am EST Sat Feb 28 2015 


00z radiosonde observations/latest WV imagery and RUC analysis show a more split flow 
over namerica with Upper Michigan on the southern flank of a west-northwest flow on the SW 
flank of Arctic branch closed low drifting off the Newfoundland 
coast. Shortwave ridge aprchg through Minnesota/very dry air shown on local 00z 
radiosonde observations /00z precipitable waters  were around 0.07 inch or 30-35 percent of normal/ are 
resulting in mostly clear skies early this morning. Despite dryness of this 
airmass and chill with 00z 850 mb temperatures in the -16 to -17c range... 
steady west-southwest flow under the rather tight pressure gradient to the north of hi 
center in the Ohio River valley has restricted The Drop in temperature over 
much of the County Warning Area...especially at the more exposed locations near the 
lakes...where current temperatures range from zero to 10 above. But some of 
the sheltered interior locations have seen the Mercury fall to as low 
as -15f to -20f. Looking upstream...hi clouds are streaming into Minnesota in 
advance of a shortwave moving east into ndakota. But since the airmass in 
the northern plains is also quite dry /area precipitable waters  are under 0.10 inch and 
the 00z 850 mb and 700 mb dewpt depressions at Bismarck were 19c and 30c 
respectively/...there is an absence of precipitation accompanying this 
disturbance. 


Main forecast concerns in the short term will focus on maximum temperatures today and 
impact tonight of shortwave now moving through the northern plains. 


Today...shortwave ridge axis now in Minnesota is prognosticated to pass through the County Warning Area 
this afternoon. Accompanying area of 850 mb-5 relative humidity under 20 percent will result in 
sunshine filtered at times by some hi clouds streaming into the area 
in advance of shortwave that is forecast to reach northwest Minnesota by 00z sun. As 850 mb 
temperatures rebound to around -14c in the SW flow around surface hi pressure shifting 
toward the Middle Atlantic States...expect maximum temperatures to top out a 
couple of degrees higher than obsvd yesterday...perhaps up to 25 in the 
downslope areas near lake supply between Marquette and Baraga. The lowest 
temperatures in the teens are likely downwind of the ice covered Northern Bay of 
Green Bay/Lake Michigan. 


Tonight...shortwave over northwest Minnesota is prognosticated to shift east across Northern Lake supply and 
into Ontario just east of the lake by 12z on sun. Some DPVA/modest deep 
layer qvector cnvgc is forecast to influence Upper Michigan ahead of the shortwave. 
But modest moisture inflow/isentropic ascent into antecedent Bone dry 
airmass will greatly restrict probability of precipitation. In fact...most of the models 
indicate a mainly dry overngt and generate only patchy light precipitation. 
Seems the best chance for precipitation will be over lake supply and perhaps downwind 
of Lake Michigan from Manistique to Newberry. Will retain mention of schc 
probability of precipitation...mainly overngt. Low temperatures tonight could be tricky with lingering 
dry air in place before thicker clouds arrive. Tended to go higher with 
min temperatures in the downslope areas near lake supply in prevailing south-southwest flow. 


Long term...(sunday through friday) 
issued at 351 am EST Sat Feb 28 2015 


Main issue this forecast period will be widespread light to moderate 
snowfall potential Tuesday into Tuesday evening with continued 
moderating temperatures. 


Sunday through Monday...a surface trough/weak cold front will 
continue to shift eastward and pass through the central and eastern 
portions of the Upper Peninsula through the day Sunday. Moisture 
will be shallow and fairly limited along the front with continued 
weak forcing. This will touch off very light snow through the day 
Sunday. Behind the front...an upper level 500mb trough is poised to 
swing across the u.P. Sunday night. As this happens...enough 
moisture will remain in place with minimal additional moisture added 
from the very ice covered Lake Superior to allow a chance of lake 
effect snow showers to develop for west to northwest wind favored 
locations. 850mb temperatures will drop to around -15c to -20c 
allowing for sufficient Delta T values for lake effect with the 
trough axis sliding across...but lake effect intensity/coverage will 
be limited to areas that breaks in the ice cover occur. This is 
especially true now that the ice extent on Lake Superior is at 95.55 
covered...which is the maximum for the season to this point. Any lake 
effect that is able to develop Sunday night will be short lived as 
much drier air and high pressure at the surface and ridging aloft 
push into the upper Great Lakes region during the day Monday. This 
will all most areas to see mainly sunny skies during the day Monday 
with highs in the 20s for most areas. This is still be around 5 to 
10 degrees below normal...but it will definitely be warmer than the 
last several weeks. 


Monday night through Tuesday night...the surface high pressure 
system will be short lived and will shift to the lower Great Lakes 
through Monday evening...then to the eastern Seaboard late Monday 
night. This will allow a more moist...slightly warmer...southerly 
flow to develop on the back side of the high. At the same time...a 
surface low pressure system is prognosticated to develop along a shortwave 
over The Four Corners region of the Continental U.S.. another stronger wave of 
energy is prognosticated to push across central Canada and work toward the 
James Bay area. Model differences continue with the phasing of the 
two systems. The 18z/27 00z/28 GFS continues to be more progressive 
with both systems and the phasing of the systems. 
Additionally...the GFS intensifies the southern system more 
aggressively than the last two runs of the ec. Even though it is 
more progressive overall...the latest runs of the GFS are slower 
with bringing precipitation into the area than it has been over the 
previous days runs...more in line with the ec. The ec 12/27 00z/28 
continues to be much slower with the phasing...keeping the 
precipitation out of the area until very late Monday night into 
Tuesday morning. The overall impact...as far as snowfall 
amounts...will largely depend on how and when these system merge. 
Either way...it does look like most of the u.P. Will see widespread 
snowfall through the day Tuesday into Tuesday evening...with the 
heavier snowfall totals expected across south central and the east 
half of the u.P. Models agree with quantitative precipitation forecast being painted out across 
these areas to the point that likely probability of precipitation are in order especially 
Tuesday afternoon into Tuesday evening 
..again the amounts are the main question at this point with the 
GFS placing around a half inch quantitative precipitation forecast across the area and the ec 
painting around a quarter inch. This would give snowfall totals of 
around 1 to 3 inches over the west half with around 2 to 5 inches 
over the east half...again these are preliminary estimates and will 
be adjusted as models begin to come into better agreement with 
better sampling over time. The fortunate aspect of this system is 
that it is fairly quick moving...which should help to keep snowfall 
totals in check...but it could be somewhat of a hassle as the 
heavier snow would fall during the Tuesday afternoon/evening commute. 


Wednesday through the remaining extended...both the ec and GFS agree 
on an upper level trough axis along with continued moisture across 
the area during this time period. The colder temperatures aloft 
along with any additional moisture off Lake Superior will allow for 
lake effect snow chances across portions of the u... 
through Thursday. Again...the exact location along with intensity 
will be largely tied to any breaks in the ice cover on Lake 
Superior. The favored locations based solely on wind would be for 
the west to west northwest wind favored snow belts with a surface 
high pressure system passing to the south of the region. 
Generally...any lake effect snow should remain fairly light...but 
this will depend on any breaks in the ice on Lake Superior. Thursday 
night...the surface high will shift to the east of the area as a 
surface trough approaches the u.P. From the west. This will 
effectively turn winds south to southwesterly...ending any lake 
effect snow chances across the u.P. 
&& 


Aviation...(for the 12z tafs through 12z Sunday morning) 
issued at 628 am EST Sat Feb 28 2015 


A dry SW flow around hi pressure shifting toward the Middle Atlantic States 
will bring VFR conditions to the taf sites through this forecast period. Some 
thicker clouds will arrive tonight in advance of an aprchg low pressure trough... 
but the llvls should remain dry enough to maintain VFR ceilings even if 
there is some very light snow. 
&& 


Marine...(for the 4 am Lake Superior forecast issuance) 
issued at 351 am EST Sat Feb 28 2015 


No gales expected into next week...with winds no higher than 20 to 
25 kts. Lake Superior remains mostly ice covered and though shifting 
winds with a series of trough passages may cause holes to open in 
the ice from time to time...a continued dominance of Arctic air will 
maintain an overall extensive ice cover. 
&& 


MQT watches/warnings/advisories... 
Upper Michigan... 
none. 
Lake Superior... 
none. 
Lake Michigan... 
none. 
&& 


$$ 


Short term...kc 
long term...kec 
aviation...kc 
marine...kc 






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