Manistique, Michigan Weather Conditions

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Current Conditions

  • 38°
  • Overcast
  • Wind: North 16 mph
  • Humidity: 70%
  • Visibility: 10.0 miles
  • Dew Point: 29°
  • Pressure: 30.37 in. 0
  • Heat Index: 29

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Next 12 Hours

5  pm
8  pm
11  pm
2  am
5  am
Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
36°
32°
32°
25°
27°
Forecast data from the National Digital Forecast Database.

5 Day Forecast

  • Friday
  • Partly Cloudy
  • High: 43 °
  • Low: 25 °
  • Partly Cloudy
  • Saturday
  • Chance of Rain
  • High: 46 °
  • Low: 36 °
  • Chance of Rain
  • Sunday
  • Rain
  • High: 54 °
  • Low: 32 °
  • Rain
  • Monday
  • Chance of Rain
  • High: 61 °
  • Low: 30 °
  • Chance of Rain
  • Tuesday
  • Chance of Rain
  • High: 46 °
  • Low: 32 °
  • Chance of Rain

Forecast for Manistique, Michigan

Updated: 5:00 PM EDT on April 18, 2014

  • Friday

    Partly cloudy. High of 43F. Winds from the NW at 5 to 15 mph.

  • Friday Night

    Partly cloudy. Low of 25F. Winds from the North at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Saturday

    Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain in the afternoon. High of 46F. Winds from the ESE at 10 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 50%.

  • Saturday Night

    Overcast with rain. Fog overnight. Low of 36F. Winds from the SE at 10 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 80% with rainfall amounts near 0.5 in. possible.

  • Sunday

    Overcast with a chance of rain. Fog early. High of 54F. Winds from the SSW at 5 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 60%.

  • Sunday Night

    Overcast with a chance of rain in the evening, then mostly cloudy with a chance of snow and rain showers. Fog overnight. Low of 32F. Winds from the SSE at 5 to 10 mph shifting to the NNE after midnight. Chance of precipitation 40% .

  • Monday

    Mostly cloudy in the morning, then overcast with a chance of rain. Fog early. High of 61F. Winds from the NE at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 40%.

  • Monday Night

    Mostly cloudy. Fog overnight. Low of 30F with a windchill as low as 23F. Winds from the North at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Tuesday

    Clear with a chance of rain in the morning, then overcast. High of 46F. Breezy. Winds from the North at 10 to 20 mph. Chance of rain 20%.

  • Tuesday Night

    Clear. Low of 32F. Winds from the NNW at 5 to 15 mph.

  • Wednesday

    Clear. High of 50F. Winds from the North at 5 to 15 mph.

  • Wednesday Night

    Partly cloudy. Low of 36F. Winds from the NE at 5 to 10 mph shifting to the ESE after midnight.

  • Thursday

    Overcast with a chance of rain. High of 52F. Winds from the SE at 10 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 30%.

  • Thursday Night

    Overcast with a chance of snow. Low of 32F. Breezy. Winds from the SE at 15 to 20 mph. Chance of snow 40%.

  • Friday

    Overcast with a chance of rain. High of 52F. Winds from the South at 10 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 50%.

  • Friday Night

    Partly cloudy with a chance of rain. Fog overnight. Low of 36F with a windchill as low as 28F. Winds from the WSW at 10 to 15 mph shifting to the NW after midnight. Chance of rain 40%.

  • Saturday

    Mostly cloudy. High of 48F. Winds from the North at 5 to 20 mph.

  • Saturday Night

    Partly cloudy. Low of 30F. Winds from the North at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Sunday

    Clear. High of 50F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Sunday Night

    Clear. Low of 34F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Monday

    Partly cloudy. High of 52F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Monday Night

    Overcast. Low of 36F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Tuesday

    Clear. High of 50F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Tuesday Night

    Clear. Low of 36F. Winds from the SE at 5 to 10 mph.

Personal Weather Stations

Personal Weather Stations [Add your weather station!]

Location: On the Tip of Big Bay de Noc, Garden Corners, MI

Updated: 4:43 PM EDT

Temperature: 44.0 °F Dew Point: 27 °F Humidity: 51% Wind: NNE at 2.0 mph Pressure: 30.33 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 44 °F Graphs

Location: Forest Glen, Michigan, MI

Updated: 4:43 PM EDT

Temperature: 38.1 °F Dew Point: 27 °F Humidity: 65% Wind: West at 3.8 mph Pressure: 30.57 in Hourly Precipitation: - Windchill: 35 °F Graphs

MSN Maps of:

Temp: Dew Point: Humidity Wind Pressure Hr Precip -

NWS Forecaster Discussion




Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Marquette Michigan 
429 PM EDT Friday Apr 18 2014 


Short term...(this evening through saturday) 
issued at 428 PM EDT Friday Apr 18 2014 


A shortwave trough is currently over the northern rockies...with a 
strengthening surface low over Mt/WY. Additionally...there is a weak 
shortwave trough and 1031mb surface high over the County Warning Area. The Rockies 
shortwave will move to ecentral Manitoba/ecentral Ontario by 00z 
sun. 


Clearing skies behind the weak shortwave overhead may allow some fog 
to develop over portions of the eastern half of the County Warning Area. High clouds 
moving into the western County Warning Area earlier tonight will limit fog potential 
there. 


Precipitation will move into the western County Warning Area Sat morning as strong forcing from 
isentropic ascent/warm air advection and low-middle level moisture advection. The 
moisture transport will be needed as the airmass above the near surface 
inversion will be quite dry. This dryness should hold the precipitation off 
until after 12z over Upper Michigan...which allows for warmer air to move 
in...making rain the dominant ptype on Sat. Do have some snow early 
over the Keweenaw...but would not be surprised to not see any precipitation 
until low-middle level temperatures warm enough for all rain. Another area of 
mixed precipitation is over far western Upper Michigan where the rain will start 
before surface temperatures are above freezing...some some very minor freezing 
rain accumulations are possible there early. As far as precipitation 
amounts...have no quantitative precipitation forecast scentral and east...with up to 0.40 inches over 
the Keweenaw on Sat. The precipitation moves southeast across the rest of the County Warning Area 
Sat night into sun...see the long term discussion for the details of 
that time frame. 


Long term...(saturday night through friday) 
issued at 428 PM EDT Friday Apr 18 2014 


..main concern over the long term period is moderate rainfall and 
above average temperatures Saturday through Sunday afternoon across 
Upper Michigan... 


Models are consistent in bringing a low pressure system across Upper 
Michigan starting Saturday afternoon and continuing through mainly 
Sunday morning. This low will bring total quantitative precipitation forecast around 0.25-0.5 inches 
of rain to west and central Upper Michigan...and 0.5 to 0.7 inches of rain 
to eastern Upper Michigan through Sunday afternoon. High temperatures 
during this period will rise into the 40s and 50s...with areas 
further south seeing near 60. This will lead to hydrology 
concerns...which is discussed in the hydrology section below. 


Plenty of upper level support exists for precipitation. The right 
entrance region of a 300mb jet is positioned favorably over Upper 
Michigan...and a 500mb trough brings modest 850-500mb qvector convergence 
from west to east throughout the night. Moisture is adequate as 
well. An area of warm air advection/isentropic ascent ahead of the low infiltrates 
the area...bringing precipitable waters  up to near 250 percent of normal. By the 
start of the long term period/Saturday night/ best moisture is 
spread across the western and central County Warning Area. 




Models have also been consistent in hanging up the front across 
northern lower Michigan Sunday afternoon....but they differ in respect to 
how far north the front will stall. The Gem/European model (ecmwf) keep the eastern 
and far southern County Warning Area under clouds and precipitation...and the 
GFS/NAM move the precipitation out of all but the very far eastern 
portions of Upper Michigan. Differences are largely with the strength of 
high pressure/incoming dry air behind the low...which forces the 
precipitation further south. For now...kept probability of precipitation/quantitative precipitation forecast conservative 
Sunday afternoon across the south and east...and started a cloud 
diminishing trend in the west/north central. 


With warmer air advecting into the region Saturday and 
Sunday...850mb temperatures rise up to 4 to 8c...leading to highs across 
the County Warning Area in the 40s and 50s Saturday...and the 50s and low 60s 
Sunday. The warmest temperatures will be west and north central 
where cloud cover clears out. 


Models also struggled with the next incoming system...moving across 
the plains states Sunday evening into Monday. With the stationary 
front still stuck in place just south of the area...warm air and 
additional moisture advecting into the region from the approaching 
low could push the precipitation northward into the County Warning Area for Monday. 
The Gem/European model (ecmwf) are pretty consistent in this...however the NAM/GFS 
keep the front south. Kept precipitation south and east for 
now...and increased from slight chance to chance by Monday 
afternoon. The upper level trough/surface trough swing through on 
Tuesday...but again models are having difficulties with this. Kept 
consensus slight chance probability of precipitation as a result. 


High pressure moves in on Wednesday...bringing a brief break to the 
precipitation...though light northerly flow will keep temperatures 
relatively cool...with highs in the 40s and low 50s. Clouds ahead of 
the next approaching system will move in from west to east 
throughout the day. 


Thursday into Friday models diverge with their solutions and 
handling of the low pressure trough drifting across the plains. The 
GFS generates excessive quantitative precipitation forecast over Upper Michigan associated with an 
inverted trough associated with this low...but the ecwmf does not. 
The GFS seems to wrap up the system more than the European model (ecmwf)...and digs 
the trough deeper. The GFS also brings 850mb temperatures of 10c by 00z 
Saturday...whereas the European model (ecmwf) 850mb temperatures do not even reach above 0c. 
For now will remain with consensus grids due to these significant 
differences. 


&& 


Aviation...(for the 18z tafs through 18z Saturday afternoon) 
issued at 125 PM EDT Friday Apr 18 2014 


VFR conditions expected through the taf period...with the exception 
being possible fog at saw tonight. If middle-high clouds do not arrive 
quick enough tonight...could see some fog develop at saw. Some rain 
and snow is possible by late Saturday morning at kiwd and kcmx...but 
models have been slower with bringing this in so left it out of the 
forecast for now. 
&& 


Marine...(for the 4 PM Lake Superior forecast issuance) 
issued at 428 PM EDT Friday Apr 18 2014 


Winds generally below 20 kts through the entire forecast period. Only 
exception will be Saturday and Saturday night as east to southeast 
winds increase to 20 to 30 kts on flank of low pressure moving from 
northern plains into northern Ontario. 
&& 


Hydrology... 
issued at 428 PM EDT Friday Apr 18 2014 


As mentioned in previous forecast discussions...the recent heavy 
snowfall across western Upper Michigan has replenished some of the water 
content that was lost during the warmer conditions over the past two 
weeks. The western high terrain now has 6 to 8 inches of water 
equivalent...with localized 10 inch amounts. Since temperatures are 
expected to be at or slightly above average across Upper Michigan this 
weekend into Monday /the upper 50s and low 60s away from local lake 
cooling on sun and Mon/...a good deal of melting should occur. 
Except for Sat night...low temperatures will fall to at least near 
freezing...limiting concerns of rapid melting. Cooler air will 
return Monday night into Thursday...somewhat moderating the melt down. 
Highs are still expected to range from the 40s to the low 50s. 


As for precipitation...an additional 0.3 to 0.75 inches of liquid in 
the form of mostly rain is expected Sat afternoon into early Sunday 
afternoon. With the additional liquid added to the snowpack from the 
recent snow storm...warm temperatures...and light to moderate 
rainfall...a prolonged period of higher river flows are expected. 


Though widespread flooding is not a concern at this time...remaining 
ice on the rivers could lead to potential ice jams once the warmer 
air arrives Sat through Monday. Those living around rivers...creeks...and 
streams should monitor both river levels and ice conditions. Ice 
jams can form and break quickly...resulting in rapidly fluctuating 
river levels. 
&& 


MQT watches/warnings/advisories... 
Upper Michigan... 
none. 
Lake Superior... 
none. 
Lake Michigan... 
none. 
&& 


$$ 


Short term...Titus 
long term...mesoscale discussion 
aviation...Titus 
marine...Titus 
hydrology...mesoscale discussion 



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