Updated: 5:00 AM EDT on November 01, 2014
Clear. High of 39F. Winds less than 5 mph.
Clear in the evening, then partly cloudy. Low of 28F. Winds less than 5 mph.
Clear in the morning, then partly cloudy. High of 46F. Winds from the SW at 10 to 15 mph.
Partly cloudy. Low of 36F. Winds from the SSW at 10 to 15 mph.
Mostly cloudy in the morning, then overcast with a chance of rain. High of 48F. Winds from the SSW at 10 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 20%.
Overcast with a chance of rain, then a chance of rain after midnight. Fog overnight. Low of 43F. Winds from the SSW at 10 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 20%.
Overcast with a chance of rain. High of 52F. Winds from the WNW at 5 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 50%.
Overcast in the evening, then partly cloudy. Low of 32F. Winds from the West at 10 to 15 mph.
Partly cloudy. High of 46F. Winds from the SW at 5 to 15 mph.
Overcast with a chance of rain. Fog overnight. Low of 34F. Winds from the South at 10 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 40%.
Overcast with a chance of rain. High of 43F. Breezy. Winds from the NW at 10 to 30 mph. Chance of rain 50%.
Partly cloudy. Low of 28F with a windchill as low as 19F. Breezy. Winds from the NNW at 15 to 25 mph.
Overcast with a chance of snow. High of 41F. Winds from the NNW at 5 to 15 mph shifting to the WSW in the afternoon. Chance of snow 20%.
Mostly cloudy with a chance of snow. Low of 32F. Winds less than 5 mph. Chance of snow 50% with accumulations up to 1 in. possible.
Overcast. High of 39F with a windchill as low as 28F. Winds from the NNW at 5 to 10 mph.
Overcast. Low of 28F with a windchill as low as 21F. Winds from the NW at 5 to 10 mph.
Overcast. High of 36F with a windchill as low as 25F. Winds from the WNW at 10 to 15 mph.
Partly cloudy. Low of 28F. Winds from the West at 5 to 10 mph.
Partly cloudy. High of 39F with a windchill as low as 28F. Winds from the WSW at 5 to 10 mph.
Clear. Low of 30F. Winds from the West at 5 to 10 mph.
Clear. High of 39F with a windchill as low as 27F. Winds from the WSW at 5 to 10 mph.
Clear. Low of 30F. Winds from the WSW at 5 to 10 mph.
Personal Weather Stations [Add your weather station!]
Updated: 7:36 AM EDT
|Temperature: 30.7 °F||Dew Point: 26 °F||Humidity: 84%||Wind: Calm||Pressure: 30.42 in||Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in||Windchill: 31 °F||Graphs|
Location: RAWS HIGH BRIDGE MI US, Chatham, MI
Updated: 7:04 AM EDT
|Temperature: 28 °F||Dew Point: 26 °F||Humidity: 92%||Wind: North at 3 mph||Pressure: -||Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in||Windchill: 28 °F||Graphs|
Location: Forest Glen, Michigan, MI
Updated: 6:12 AM EDT
|Temperature: 28.9 °F||Dew Point: 26 °F||Humidity: 87%||Wind: Calm||Pressure: 30.69 in||Hourly Precipitation: -||Windchill: 29 °F||Graphs|
Location: RAWS SENEY MI US, Germfask, MI
Updated: 7:03 AM EDT
|Temperature: 28 °F||Dew Point: 20 °F||Humidity: 72%||Wind: NE at 1 mph||Pressure: -||Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in||Windchill: 28 °F||Graphs|
MSN Maps of:
|Temp:||Dew Point:||Humidity||Wind||Pressure||Hr Precip||-|
Area forecast discussion National Weather Service Marquette Michigan 727 am EDT Sat Nov 1 2014 Short term...(today and tonight) issued at 415 am EDT Sat Nov 1 2014 The combination of warm air advection at 850 mb and lowering subsidence inversion heights ahead of approaching middle-level ridge from the plains appears to have ended the lake effect snow over the area as noted on radar imagery early this morning. However...infrared satellite imagery reveals that stratocu lake clouds still linger roughly east of a line from Houghton through L'Anse to Iron Mountain in a light northerly onshore flow ahead of a surface ridge axis centered over Western Lake Superior and north central WI. Clearing along the WI bdr in Gogebic and western Iron counties has allowed temperatures to fall into the lower teens in many places. Wakefield has even reached into the single digits with a reading of 5f in the past hour. The big short term forecast challenge will be timing the clearing of these lake clouds as the surface ridge axis continues to work across forecast area today. Today...expect clearing of lake clouds to reach into MQT...Dickinson and mnm counties just before sunrise as winds back more northwest. Clearing will be slowest over eastern counties...perhaps not until late afternoon when onshore northerly winds back more W-SW. Warm air advection SW flow developing on the backside of the ridge axis will allow temperatures to rebound into the lower 40s west and scntrl under sunny skies. Expect only middle to upper 30s far east where clearing will be delayed as metnioned before. Tonight...with increasing srly flow/isentropic ascent under sharpening pressure gradient between slowly departing surface hi pressure ridge and developing low pressure in the northern plains associated with shortwave lifting northeastward through the northern rockies...models indicate increasing middle/hi level relative humidity. But since the low level feed of air will remain dry and with an absence of any other forcing under 500 mb height rises ahead of incoming upper ridge axis...expect only an increase in middle/hi clouds especially over the west half. These clouds and increasing srly flow will limit the nocturnal temperature fall especially in the downslope areas near Lake Superior over the west half. Look for inland min temperatures west half generally in the middle 20s with readings closer to 30f along the lake. For eastern counties...where the gradient is slacker/winds lighter and slower arrival of hi clouds...expect inland temperatures to fall closer to the lower end of guidance (around 20f) in the presence of precipitable water less than .25 inch or about 50 percent of normal. Long term...(sunday through friday) issued at 506 am EDT Sat Nov 1 2014 An initially amplified pattern across namerica...featuring a western trough...sharp Central Ridge and deep eastern trough...will deamplify some and become more progressive during the first half of the long term. Some amplification will occur again later next week as an eastern trough redevelops. This pattern evolution will mean that below normal temperatures initially will transition to normal to above early next week. There will then be a trend back to below normal temperatures later next week as eastern trough redevelops. As for precipitation...after dry weather over the weekend...precipitation chances will return early next week in response to one shortwave trough shifting across the Great Lakes region. Then... additional precipitation chances will be provided by 2 or 3 shortwaves that will work to carve out a new eastern trough during the late week period. Looking farther ahead...the first really cold air mass of the season for North America still looks like it will be developing in north central Canada in the 7-10 day time frame as a positive height anomaly develops in the vicinity of Alaska/northwest Canada and the adjacent Arctic Ocean. At lower latitudes...it appeared yesterday that a general zonal flow would be the rule across the Continental U.S.. today...it appears there may be a bit more western ridging per European model (ecmwf) and more of the Gem ensembles to help drive some of this cold air a little farther S. With Pacific flow still undercutting the western ridge and sending shortwaves east across the northern Continental U.S....there could be a more active wintry precipitation pattern setting up for the upper lakes beyond this forecast period...aided by the strengthening temperature contrast over the continent. Beginning sun...despite continued warm air advection/isentropic ascent between high pressure moving toward the Carolinas and a low pressure trough shifting out over the plains...forecast soundings Show Low levels remaining too dry to support any precipitation concerns. Under some high/middle clouds...temperatures on sun will rise into the 40s everywhere even with shallow mixing to only around 925mb on forecast soundings. If mixing reaches 900mb... temperatures will top 50f. Daytime mixing will tap winds up to 25-30kt... resulting in gusty winds that will make the air feel cooler. One shortwave will shift out over the northern plains Sun night while another moves into the southern rockies. Ahead of these shortwaves...SW flow will continue through the central Continental U.S. Into the Great Lakes. Despite the continued SW flow...moistening of the low-levels remains slow per forecast soundings. Combined with the lack of meaningful forcing...Sun night will remain dry. Steady SW flow... increasing precipitable water and middle/high clouds will limit nocturnal cooling. Expect mins in the 30s. Interior locations that decouple more may slip into the upper 20s. Monday through Tuesday night...northern shortwave will shift NE toward Hudson Bay. Meanwhile...it now looks like a piece of energy will eject out of the southern portion of the trough over the southern rockies and lift into the Great Lakes. This will help pull the better tap of Gulf moisture a little farther west than it appeared in previous model runs. Better moisture combined with forcing provided by shortwave...upper jet and cold front moving across the area Monday night/Tuesday morning suggests raising probability of precipitation from previous forecast...especially over the eastern forecast area. Will continue to carry dry weather through Monday morning with probability of precipitation then ramping up Monday aftn/night. With the departure of the shortwave Tuesday morning...precipitation will mostly end. However...some lake enhanced precipitation (mainly snow) is possible for a time under westerly flow Tuesday/Tuesday night as 850mb temperatures fall to -5/-6c in the presence of another shortwave swinging through the upper lakes. Of the aforementioned 2 or 3 shortwaves heading southeast to carve out the late week eastern trough...the first will already be approaching Wednesday morning. Timing/intensity/track of shortwave and associated surface wave are not well agreed upon by medium range guidance. The GFS is most robust with the surface feature as it takes a low pressure from ND across Upper Michigan/Lake Superior...accompanied by rain/snow and followed by the typical period of strong north-northwest winds/gales and lake enhanced snow. The Gem/European model (ecmwf) are weaker/farther S with the surface feature. Given the excellent run-to-run consistency of the last 3 runs of the European model (ecmwf)... forecast will lean more strongly toward its solution for Wed/Thu. So... there is the potential for a streak of rain/snow to move across the forecast area Wednesday/Wednesday night...especially southern portions. Lake effect/lake enhanced precipitation (mostly snow) should then follow Wednesday night/Thursday as 850mb temperatures fall to at least -8c with another shortwave also dropping southeast across the area. Forecast uncertainty increases substantially for Friday due to poor model run-to-run consistency. Previously...it looked like warm air advection/isentropic ascent generated precipitation would streak into the area...but now there is some indication that a surface high pressure ridge will dominate. && Aviation...(for the 12z tafs through 12z Sunday morning) issued at 718 am EDT Sat Nov 1 2014 Other than an MVFR lake cloud deck lifting from ksaw around 15z this morning...expect VFR conditions and light winds to prevail through the taf period at all sites as high pressure dominates. A strengthening low-level jet maximum ahead of low pressure trough moving into the plains tonight will allow for low level wind shear to develop at kiwd later this evening. && Marine...(for the 4 am Lake Superior forecast issuance) issued at 415 am EDT Sat Nov 1 2014 Winds will remain generally at or below 20 kts with first a ridge moving across the area this weekend and then a trough/cold front moving through late Monday/Monday night. Look for west winds to briefly increase to 30 kts on Tuesday/Tuesday evening in the wake of a cold front...strongest over the east half of the lake. Another round of stronger northwest winds will be possible Thursday...with marginal gales not out of the question over the east half of the lake. && MQT watches/warnings/advisories... Upper Michigan... none. Lake Superior... none. Lake Michigan... none. && $$ Short term...Voss long term...rolfson aviation...Voss marine...Voss